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Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song – Rihanna’s ‘Wakanda Forever’ Track Is the Song to Beat (So Far)
2023 Oscars best original song predictions include Rihanna, Taylor Swift, Lady Gaga, Billie Eilish, Diane Warren, One Republic, Jazmine Sullivan and Joe Jonas

Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song – Rihanna’s ‘Wakanda Forever’ Track Is the Song to Beat (So Far)

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current standings of the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any film or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each inpidual category is fluid and subject to change. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATED: Nov. 3, 2022

2023 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Song

Song art cover for Lady Gaga’s “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick.”

CATEGORY COMMENTARY: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” premiered to glowing reviews and even delivered a possible frontrunner for best original song in the form of Rihanna’s “Life Me Up,” the new track she sings and co-wrote with Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Göransson.

She won’t be the only big name in the song race as big names like last year’s winners Billie Eilish and Finneas are back with “Nobody Like U” from “Turning Red” while Lady Gaga’s “Hold My Hand” from “Top Gun: Maverick” will surely be on voters’ minds.

Taylor Swift, who just announced her new tour dates, has two shots at Oscar noms with her short film “All Too Well” which stars “Stranger Things” star Sadie Sink and her song “Carolina” from the film “Where the Crawdads Sing.”

There are the usual suspects in the discussion as well like Honorary Oscar recipient Diane Warren who pens “Applause” from the documentary “Tell It Like a Woman” and Marc Shaiman, who writes “Love is Not Love” from “Bros” along with star and co-writer Billy Eichner.

The Hollywood Music in Media Awards nominations were also announced and highlighted a couple of other possibilities. The song nominees are below:

SONG – FEATURE FILM
“Lift Me Up” from BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER. Written by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler, and Ludwig Göransson. Performed by Rihanna.
“(You Made it Feel Like) Home” from BONES AND ALL. Written by Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross. Performed by Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Mariqueen Maandig Reznor.
“Love Is Not Love” from BROS. Written by Billy Eichner & Marc Shaiman. Performed by Billy Eichner.
“Do a Little Good” from SPIRITED. Written by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul. Performed by Ryan Reynolds, Will Ferrell, Sunita Mani, Patrick Page and Tracy Morgan.
“Stand Up” from TILL. Written by Jazmine Sullivan and D’Mile. Performed by Jazmine Sullivan.
“Hold My Hand” from TOP GUN: MAVERICK. Written by Lady Gaga & BloodPop®. Performed by Lady Gaga.
“Carolina” from WHERE THE CRAWDADS SING. Written and performed by Taylor Swift.
“new body rhumba” from WHITE NOISE. Written by James Murphy, Nancy Whang, Patrick Mahoney. Performed by LCD Soundsystem.
“The Songcord” from AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER. Written by Simon Franglen. Performed by Zoe Saldana
“Time” from AMSTERDAM. Written by Jahaan Sweet, Aubrey Drake Graham, Daniel Pemberton, Giveon Evans. Performed by Giveon.

SONG – ANIMATED FILM
“Sunny Side Up Summer” from THE BOB’S BURGERS MOVIE. Written by Loren Bouchard, and Nora Smith. Performed by Dan Mintz, Eugene Mirman, H. Jon Benjamin, John Roberts, and Kristen Schaal.
“Nobody Like U” from TURNING RED. Written by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell. Performed by 4*TOWN (Finneas O’Connell, Grayson Villanueva, Jordan Fisher, Josh Levi, and Topher Ngo)
“Lift Your Wings” from MY FATHER’S DRAGON. Written by Mychael Danna, Jeff Danna, Frank Danna, Nora Twomey, Meg LeFauve. Performed by Anohni.
“Turn Up the Sunshine” from MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU. Written by Jack Antonoff, Kevin Parker, Sam Dew, Patrik Berger. Performed by Diana Ross and Tame Impala
“Ciao Papa” from GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO. Written by Alexandre Desplat, Lyrics by Roeben Katz and Guillermo del Toro. Performed by Gregory Mann

SONG – DOCUMENTARY FILM
“My Mind and Me” from SELENA GOMEZ: MY MIND & ME. Written by Selena Gomez, Amy Allen, Jonathan Bellion, Michael Pollack, Stefan Johnson, Jordan K Johnson. Performed by Selena Gomez.
“At The Automat” from THE AUTOMAT. Written and performed by Mel Brooks
“Ready As I’ll Never Be” from THE RETURN OF TANYA TUCKER – FEATURING BRANDI CARLILE. Written by Brandi Carlile and Tanya Tucker. Performed by Tanya Tucker.
“Sing A Brand New Song” from KILLING ME SOFTLY WITH HIS SONGS. Written by Charles Fox and Lonnie “Common” Rashid Lynn. Performed by Donald Webber, Jr.
“Dust and Ash” from THE VOICE OF DUST AND ASH. Written by J. Ralph. Performed by Norah Jones
“We Are Art” from WE ARE ART THROUGH THE EYES OF ANNALAURA. Written by Annalaura di Luggo and Paky Di Maio. Performed by Annalaura di Luggo.
“A Sky Like I’ve Never Seen” from WILDCAT. Written by Robin Pecknold. Performed by Fleet Foxes.

SONG – INDEPENDENT FILM
“Applause” from TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN. Written by Diane Warren. Performed by Sofia Carson.
“Til You’re Home” from A MAN CALLED OTTO. Written by David Hodges and Rita Wilson. Performed by Rita Wilson and Sebastián Yatra
“This Is A Life” from EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE. Written By Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski. Performed By Son Lux with Mitski and David Byrne.
“We Two Made One” from THE SILENT TWINS. Written by Marcin Macuk, Zuzanna Wrońska, June Gibbons, Jennifer Gibbons. Performed by Tamara Lawrance.
“Stand the Test of Time” from TOMORROW’S GAME. Written and performed by Lionel Cohen and Stefni Valencia.

SONG – ONSCREEN PERFORMANCE
“Naatu Naatu” from RRR – Rahul Sipligunj, Kaala Bhairava
“Baby Let’s Play House” from ELVIS – Austin Butler
“Cucamonga” from KNIGHTS OF SWING – Knights of Swing
“Love Is Not Love” from BROS – Billy Eichner
“On My Way (Marry Me)” from MARRY ME – Jennifer Lopez

See the latest film predictions, in all 23 categories, in one place on Variety’s Oscars Collective.

To see the ranked predictions for each inpidual category, visit Variety’s Oscars Hub.

ALL AWARDS CONTENDERS AND RANKINGS:

And The Predicted Nominees Are:
RankFilmSong TitleDistributor
1“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”“Lift me up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan CooglerMarvel Studios
The nation of Wakanda is pitted against intervening world powers as they mourn the loss of their king T’Challa.
2“RRR”“Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul SipligunjVariance Films
A fictitious story about two legendary revolutionaries and their journey away from home before they started fighting for their country in the 1920s.
4“Top Gun: Maverick”“Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga and BloodpopParamount Pictures
After thirty years, Maverick is still pushing the envelope as a top naval aviator, but must confront ghosts of his past when he leads TOP GUN’s elite graduates on a mission that demands the ultimate sacrifice from those chosen to fly it.
5“Tell It Like a Woman”“Applause” by Diane WarrenSamuel Goldwyn Films
Stories of women, both in front of and behind the camera.
3“Turning Red”“Nobody Like U” by Billie Eilish and FinneasPixar
A 13-year-old girl named Meilin turns into a giant red panda whenever she gets too excited.
Next in Line
6“Where the Crawdads Sing”“Carolina” by Taylor SwiftSony Pictures
A woman who raised herself in the marshes of the Deep South becomes a suspect in the murder of a man with whom she was once involved.
7“Everything Everywhere All at Once”“This is a Life” by David Byrne, Ryan Lott and MitskiA24
An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, in which she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led.
8“Spirited”“Do a Little Good” by Benj Pasek and Justin PaulApple Original Films
A musical version of Charles Dickens’s story of a miserly misanthrope who is taken on a magical journey.
9“White Noise”“New Body Rhumba” by LCD SoundsystemNetflix
Dramatizes a contemporary American family’s attempts to deal with the mundane conflicts of everyday life while grappling with the universal mysteries of love, death, and the possibility of happiness in an uncertain world.
10“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”“Ciao Papa” by Roeben Katz and Guillermo del ToroNetflix
A darker version of the classic children’s fairy tale of a wooden puppet that transforms into a real living boy.
Other Top-Tier Contenders
11“A Man Called Otto”“Till You’re Home” by Rita WilsonSony Pictures
12“Avatar: The Way of Water”“The Songcord” by Simon Franglen20th Century Studios
13“Till”“Stand Up” by Jazmine Sullivan and D’MileOrion/United Artists Releasing
14“Selena Gomez: My Mind and Me”“My Mind and Me” by Selena GomezApple Original Films
15“Bones and All”“(You Made It Feel Like) Home” by Trent Reznor and Atticus RossMGM/United Artists Releasing
16“My Father’s Dragon”“Lift Your Wings” by Mychael Danna, Jeff Danna, Frank Danna, Nora Twomey and Meg LeFauveNetflix
17“Bros”“Love is Not Love” by Marc Shaiman and Billy EichnerUniversal Pictures
18“Devotion”“Not Alone” by Joe Jonas, Ryan Tedder, HARV and KhalidSony Pictures
19“The Automat”“At the Automat” by Mel BrooksA Slice of Pie Productions
20“Amsterdam”“Time” by Drake, Giveon Evans, Jahaan Akil Sweet and Daniel Pemberton20th Century Studios
All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical)
“A Jazzman’s Blues”“Paper Airplanes” by Ruth B.Netflix
“A Man Called Otto”“Till You’re Home” by Rita WilsonSony Pictures
“Amsterdam”“Time” by Drake, Giveon Evans, Jahaan Akil Sweet and Daniel Pemberton20th Century Studios
“Avatar: The Way of Water”“The Songcord” by Simon Franglen20th Century Studios
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”“Lift me up” by Tems, Ludwig Göransson, Rihanna and Ryan CooglerMarvel Studios
“Bodies Bodies Bodies”“Alice” by Amandla StenbergA24
“Bones and All”“(You Made It Feel Like) Home” by Trent Reznor and Atticus RossMGM/United Artists Releasing
“Bros”“Love is Not Love” by Marc Shaiman and Billy EichnerUniversal Pictures
“DC League of Superpets”“Count on Me” by Jeremy SilverWarner Bros.
“Devotion”“Not Alone” by Joe JonasSony Pictures
“Don’t Worry Darling”“With You All the Time” by Harry StylesWarner Bros.
“Elvis”“Vegas” by Doja CatWarner Bros.
“Everything Everywhere All at Once”“This is a Life” by David Byrne, Ryan Lott and MitskiA24
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”“Ciao Papa” by Roeben Katz and Guillermo del ToroNetflix
“Killing Me Softly With His Songs”“Sing a Brand New Song” by Charles Fox and CommonShowclix
“Let Me Be Me”“Feels Like Me” by Gin WigmoreGreenwich Entertainment
“Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile”“Carried Away” by Benj Pasek, Justin Paul, Arianna Afsar, Mark SonnenblickSony Pictures
“Marry Me”“On My Way (Marry Me)” by Ivy Adara, Leroy Clampitt and Michael PollackUniversal Pictures
“Minions: The Rise of Gru”“Turn Up the Sunshine” by Jack Antonoff, Kevin Parker, Sam Dew, Patrick BergerUniversal Pictures
“My Father’s Dragon”“Lift Your Wings” by Mychael Danna, Jeff Danna, Frank Danna, Nora Twomey and Meg LeFauveNetflix
“RRR”“Naatu Naatu” by Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, Rahul SipligunjVariance Films
“Selena Gomez: My Mind and Me”“My Mind and Me” by Selena GomezApple Original Films
“Spirited”“Do a Little Good” by Benj Pasek and Justin PaulApple Original Films
“Tell It Like a Woman”“Applause” by Diane WarrenSamuel Goldwyn Films
“The Automat”“At the Automat” by Mel BrooksA Slice of Pie Productions
“The Bob’s Burgers Movie”“Sunny Side Up Summer” by Loren Bouchard and Nora Smith20th Century Studios
“The Return of Tanya Tucker – Featuring Brandi Carlile”“Ready as I’ll Ever Be” by Brandi Carlile and Tanya TuckerSony Pictures Classics
“The Silent Twins”“We Two Made One” by Marcin Macuk, Zuzanna Wrońska, June Gibbons, Jennifer GibbonsFocus Features
“The Voice of Dust and Ash”“Dust & Ash” by J. RalphMatilda Productions
“The Woman King”“Keep Rising” by Jessy Wilson and Angelique KidjoSony Pictures
“Three Thousand Years of Longing”“Cautionary Tale” by Junkie XL, George Miller and Augusta GoreMGM/United Artists Releasing
“Till”“Stand Up” by Jazmine Sullivan and D’MileOrion/United Artists Releasing
“Top Gun: Maverick”“Hold My Hand” by Lady Gaga and BloodpopParamount Pictures
“Top Gun: Maverick”“I Ain’t Worried” by Ryan Tedder, Brent Kutzle, Tyler Spry, John Eriksson, Peter Moren, Bjorn YttlingParamount Pictures
“Turning Red”“Nobody Like U” by Billie Eilish and FinneasPixar
“We Are Art: Through the Eyes of Annalaura”“We Are Art” by Annalaura di Luggo and Paky Di MaioAnnydi Productions
“Where the Crawdads Sing”“Carolina” by Taylor SwiftSony Pictures
“White Noise”“New Body Rhumba” by LCD SoundsystemNetflix
“Wildcat”“A Sky Like I’ve Never Seen” by Robin PecknoldAmazon Studios

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | ACTOR | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

The 95th Oscars ceremony will be held at the Dolby Theatre and televised live on Sunday, March 12, 2022, on ABC.

2022 category winner: “No Time to Die” by Billie Eilish and Finneas from “No Time to Die” (MGM/United Artists Releasing)

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