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Final Oscar Predictions: How Many Can Everything Everywhere All at Once Win?,“Everything Everywhere All at Once” is likely to win — and win big. The A24 hit has scored at almost every industry precursor, going four-for-four at the Directors Guild, Producers Guild, Screen Actors Guild, and Writers Guild Awards.
Final Oscar Predictions: How Many Can Everything Everywhere All at Once Win?
On Sunday night, two Oscar narratives will come into conflict.
The first says that Everything Everywhere All at Once is likely to win — and win big. The A24 hit has scored at almost every industry precursor, going four for four at the Directors Guild, Producers Guild, Screen Actors Guild, and Writers Guild Awards. You can count on one hand the number of films that have pulled that off: Argo, Slumdog Millionaire, No Country for Old Men, and American Beauty. All of them more or less swept on Oscar night.
The other narrative says that, front-runner schmontrunner, Oscar voters love to share the wealth. In the post-2009 era of the preferential ballot, Best Picture winners tend to top out around four wins. (The Hurt Locker holds the record with six.) If a film can get into the Best Picture lineup, the new Academy likes to find a way to give it at least one trophy.
One one hand, we have unstoppable hot-dog fingers. In the other, we have an immovable rock with googly eyes. Which narrative will emerge triumphant on Sunday? Here are my final predictions in all 23 Oscar categories.
Best Picture
Photo: Netflix
The Elephant Whisperers
Haulout
How Do You Measure a Year?
The Martha Mitchell Effect
Stranger at the Gate
Two years ago, I offered a foolproof method for nailing the shorts categories: “When in doubt, go for the one with the most emotionally manipulative take on a pressing social issue, and if it features a garish twist, even better.” By that metric, I should predict Stranger at the Gate, which includes both a surprise ending and a few creative decisions that left a bad taste in my mouth. (Plus, it was executive-produced by Malala.) But for some reason I can’t bring myself to do it, so I’ll go instead with The Elephant Whisperers, which is very accessible and incredibly cute.
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