Nominations received: Fourteen — including Drama Series, Lead Actor (Bill Hader), two Supporting Actor nominations (Anthony Carrigan and Henry Winkler), Directing, and two for Writing

What it’s about: An assassin signs up for an acting class in order to murder a fellow wannabe thespian, only to fall in love with theater and try to make a career shift. Unfortunately, it’s not that easy to leave organized crime, and now he’s in a mess. 

Emmy chances: Unlike Atlanta, Barry has returned from hiatus seemingly as beloved as ever. It is, however, entering a new comedy landscape against last year’s powerhouses Ted Lasso and Hacks as well as strong freshman contenders Only Murders in the Building and Abbott Elementary. For as good as Barry is (and as much as it stands out as the serious contender against a fairly jokey field), I think this will be a tough year for Barry. While Bill Hader has won his category twice, he’s now up against last year’s winner, Jason Sudeikis, as well as comedy legends Martin Short and Steve Martin. If there is a trophy for this show to win, it would be Hader’s, but he might have to kill a few people to get it. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Seven — including Drama Series, Lead Actor (Bob Odenkirk), Supporting Actress (Rhea Seehorn), and Writing

What it’s about: A prequel to Emmy darling Breaking Bad that focuses on a criminal defense attorney and his various legal cases. This is the first part of a two-part final season, which means the show will be Emmy eligible again next year. 

Emmy chances: Better Call Saul has been trucking along for six seasons now, scooping up a whopping 46 Emmy nominations. It’s easily the oldest Drama Series contender, and fans and critics have been beating the drum for this consistently excellent show since its premiere. Despite all this, it has yet to win an Emmy (other than two for supplemental shorts). While I think it stands a chance next year to win for its finale, this year the show seems again to be at a disadvantage against previous winner Succession and ingenue Squid Game. Its best bet for a win is Odenkirk if the Succession actors split the vote. 

Where to stream: Prime Video

Nominations received: Fourteen — including Limited Series, Lead Actor (Michael Keaton), three for Supporting Actor (Will Poulter, Peter Sarsgaard, and Michael Stuhlbarg), two Supporting Actress nominations (Kaitlyn Dever and Mare Winningham), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: Based on a true story, it follows those involved with the creation of OxyContin and the subsequent lawsuits brought against the makers of the addictive medication. 

Emmy chances: Dopesick seems to be a strong contender in the surprisingly weak Limited Series category as it faces off against the less acclaimed Pam & Tommy and Inventing Anna as well as a host of shows with far fewer nominations. The White Lotus is its main competition in most categories, meaning it will probably lose out in the Supporting categories, but Michael Keaton is expected to win in Lead Actor, and Directing/Writing wins are well within reach as well. 

Where to stream: Hulu

Nominations received: Six — including Limited Series, Lead Actress (Amanda Seyfried), two Directing nominations, and Writing

What it’s about: Deep-voiced girlboss/con artist Elizabeth Holmes and the rise and fall of her health technology company Theranos. 

Emmy chances: By nomination count alone, The Dropout seems to be trailing Dopesick and The White Lotus in the Limited Series race. Neither of those series, however, has a contender in Lead Actress, and Seyfried is arguably the best part of the show and is delivering a tour de force performance. She is the frontrunner there, which means the show shouldn’t go home empty-handed. 

Where to stream: Hulu

Nominations received: Sixteen — including Drama Series, Lead Actress (Zendaya), and Supporting Actress (Sydney Sweeney)

What it’s about: A bunch of horny, glitter-covered teens living very dramatic high school lives. In Season 2, they are putting on a play about themselves in a meta High School Musical 3 sort of way. 

Emmy chances: The first season of Euphoria seemed a bit off the Emmy voters’ radar when it came time for nominations, landing only one non–Creative Arts nom. However, the Television Academy seems to have warmed up to the show, as they gave Zendaya the Best Actress statue for Season 1 and loaded it up with nominations for Season 2 (which was strong, if you reference my episode ranking). Succession will run away with many of the Drama statues, but Zendaya could repeat, especially given how weak the Lead Actress category is. I’d never, ever be happier than if Sweeney won in Supporting Actress. That seems unlikely, but the category doesn’t have a clear frontrunner, so who knows. It will definitely win for Makeup again, though. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Three — including Lead Actress (Kaley Cuoco)

What it’s about: An alcoholic flight attendant can’t remember whether she killed her lover during a bender, but in Season 2, she also *checks notes* works for the CIA? 

Emmy chances: With only three noms, The Flight Attendant is way out of its depth. That being said, it’s a delightful, fizzy little romp and is highly watchable. I really wish that Cuoco had won Lead Actress last year, because she really was excellent. She will probably lose to Jean Smart for a second year in a row, though. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Four — including Lead Actor (Nicholas Hoult) and Lead Actress (Elle Fanning) 

What it’s about: A veeeeeeeeeeery loosely historical recounting of the lives of Catherine the Great, empress of all Russia, and her husband, Emperor Peter III.

Emmy chances: Someone in the Television Academy is watching The Great, but apparently not enough someones, as it’s earned bizarre groupings of nominations for two years running. For Season 1, it got Directing and Writing but nothing else. This year, its leads land nominations, but it flops on Writing and Directing. I don’t think we’ll see a win on the telecast, but perhaps Season 3 will be its time to shine. 

Where to stream: Hulu

Nominations received: Seventeen — including Comedy Series, Lead Actress (Jean Smart), Supporting Actress (Hannah Einbinder), Writing, Directing, and five for Guest Actor or Actress

What it’s about: A semi-canceled Twitter comedian and a washed-up Vegas comedian team up to relaunch each other’s career. 

Emmy chances: Hacks is second only to Ted Lasso in nominations on the comedy side of things, so it stands to reason that for the second year in a row, it will be battling it out with the soccer comedy for the top spot in Comedy Series, Writing, and Directing. Smart will most likely take home the Lead Actress trophy for the second year in a row, and Einbinder is in the hunt with a messy, scattered Supporting Actress field. Hacks also has four out of six of the nominees for Guest Actress, so it should win there, provided there isn’t too much vote splitting. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Three — including Lead Actress (Issa Rae) 

What it’s about: Rae helms the show she created about the experiences of Black women in modern-day America.

Emmy chances: While Insecure seemed to be picking up steam with the Emmys, breaking into the Comedy Series race in 2020, the air was let out of the balloon with this paltry crop of nominations for the show’s final season. The show always deserved better than what the Television Academy gave it, and this year is just another example of that. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Two — Directing and Writing for a Variety Special

What it’s about: Comedian Jerrod Carmichael performs a standup routine about the secrets within his family, one of which is his homosexuality, which he addresses frankly while his pants are stylishly tucked into his socks. 

Emmy chances: Every set of Emmy nominations comes with a few baffling combinations of snubs and/or nominations. None this year are so jarring as those surrounding Rothaniel. The Variety Special categories are ridiculous to begin with, as they encompass everything from the Oscars and stand-up sets to Adele concerts and the Harry Potter cast reunion. Carmichael’s special, which is WIDELY acclaimed and considered by many to be the best of the year so far, garnered the expected Directing and Writing nominations. It did not, however, get a nomination for the special itself in the Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded) category, losing out to the pisive, anti-trans Dave Chappelle special instead. This is made all the more confusing given that the live and prerecorded sections that are eligible for the same Directing and Writing nominations are split into two categories for the special itself. So half the competition and it still misses out. AND if that isn’t weird enough, Carmichael was the sole Saturday Night Live host to get into the Guest Actor comedy race, despite being one of this season’s least known hosts. How this oversight happened is inexplicable, especially since Rothaniel should have won the whole damn category, imho. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Seventeen — including Comedy Series, two for Lead Actor (Steve Martin and Martin Short), two Directing nominations, and Writing

What it’s about: Three strangers decide to start a true crime podcast investigating the death of their fellow apartment dweller when the police rule the death a suicide. 

Emmy chances: Outside of limited series (which are all freshman endeavors), Only Murders is the most decorated newbie in the crowd. Ted Lasso and Hacks stand as stiff competition, BUT Only Murders is untested and could end up zooming past the pair of sophomore shows, especially since Only Murders has an acclaimed second season airing during the voting window, which means it will be fresher on the mind than Ted Lasso, which debuted a whole year ago. Short and Martin also risk splitting the vote, but they are legends and will certainly scoop up plenty of votes from their endless industry connections, something that younger competitors like Bill Hader and Jason Sudeikis don’t have. 

Where to stream: Hulu

Nominations received: Thirteen — including Drama Series, Lead Actor (Jason Bateman), Lead Actress (Laura Linney), Supporting Actress (Julia Garner), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: A family moves to Missouri to get into the money-laundering business (as one does). 

Emmy chances: Ozark has a little bit of the Better Call Saul thing going on as a long-running, critically acclaimed drama that has never quite broken out in a massive way at the Emmys. A few things it has working in its favor, however: 1) It’s the show’s final season, which gives voters a sense of urgency that something like Succession doesn’t have. 2) It has actually won before. Bateman won for Directing in the year when Game of Thrones crashed and burned, and Garner has taken home back-to-back trophies for seasons 2 and 3. Garner could win again, but both she and Bateman will be up against Succession frontrunners. Linney, however, is the only member of the trio not to earn an Emmy for the show, and she sits in a weak category with both Killing Eve actors and Reese Witherspoon from The Morning Show, all of whom are working off of largely reviled seasons. Zendaya and Melanie Lynskey will have more chances, so if Ozark fans want to push, this is the place to do it. 

Where to stream: Netflix

Nominations received: One — Main Title Design

What it’s about: A gorgeous, well-written, well-acted, intergenerational Korean-Japanese saga about a family who owns a pachinko parlor.

Emmy chances: Pachinko should be the show with the most nominations overall. It is the best thing I’ve seen this year and is soooooooo richly created. Its one nomination is for its opening credits (which, to be fair, are exquisite; I’ve said it once, I’ll say it again). There is no good explanation for it not showing up more, other than it seemed to be a limited series that was renewed for a second season, and so perhaps there was some confusion there. It will likely lose to either Only Murders or Severance, both of which have more wide appeal, but the show is tremendous, and you should treat yourself and watch it. 

Where to stream: Apple TV+

Nominations received: Eight — including Reality Competition Program, Reality Host (RuPaul), and Directing

What it’s about: A bunch of drag queens compete in ridiculous competitions (make dresses out of balls, star in a soap opera about farting) to become America’s Next Drag Superstar.

Emmy chances: The Reality Competition categories tend to reward the same things over and over and over again. RuPaul has won Reality Host for the past six years, and the show has won Reality Competition Program for the past four years. Nothing in this year’s crop of nominees seems to stand as much of a threat, so it will deservedly win again. (I say “deservedly” only because Survivor and my beloved Blown Away weren’t nominated.)

Where to stream: It’s complicated. Here’s a guide. 

Nominations received: Nine — including Variety Sketch Series, Supporting Actor (Bowen Yang), Supporting Actress (Kate McKinnon), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: A bunch of comedians delivering sketches, parodies, music videos, monologues, and political satire every Saturday at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Emmy chances: SNL is the winningest show in Emmy history, with 306 nominations and 92 wins. There aren’t a ton of shows competing in Variety Sketch Series, so the show largely runs unopposed in its primary category before facing off against late-night shows in many of its others. It will certainly win a few awards, but I would be surprised if either Yang or McKinnon can crack the Supporting categories this year, given the stiff competition. 

Where to stream: Peacock

Nominations received: One — Lead Actor (Oscar Isaac) 

What it’s about: A crumbling marriage, in scenes. 

Emmy chances: Not great. The critically acclaimed HBO drama, with tremendous performances by recent Oscar winner Jessica Chastain and Isaac, clearly failed to connect with Emmy voters. Isaac is deserving of his nomination but will certainly lose to Michael Keaton. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Fourteen — including Drama Series, Lead Actor (Adam Scott), two Supporting Actor nominations (John Turturro and Christopher Walken), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: An office where people undergo surgery to separate their work memories from their nonwork memories, sentencing their work self to a life of hell that their nonwork self can’t remember. 

Emmy chances: The love the academy showed Severance was a bit surprising, given that it’s been a slow-burning word-of-mouth hit. I think for the most part, the nominations here are the prize itself for the freshman series, BUT if academy members keep watching, we could see it pick up steam in the next two months. As people discover the show, it will be fresher than Succession or Squid Game, which debuted in 2021. The Drama acting categories are the most wide open, with so much vote splitting going on, so if there is a late surge, we could see it yanking things from the plethora of Succession actors in each category. 

Where to stream: Apple TV+

Nominations received: Fourteen — Drama Series, Lead Actor (Lee Jung-jae), two Supporting Actor nominations (Park Hae-soo and Oh Yeong-su), Supporting Actress (Jung Ho-yeon), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: A bunch of poor people compete in deadly children’s games, with the winner promised an enormous sum of money. 

Emmy chances: This is the populist hit of the year. Everyone watched this show when it debuted on Netflix, and it picked up trophies from Critics Choice, the Screen Actors Guild, and the HFPA last winter. The SAG Awards are especially competitive without Supporting categories, but the glut of spring shows also weren’t in contention then. It’s also hard to gauge if the Television Academy will go for actors who aren’t as well known in the US when they’re up against household names. As with Severance, though, it could snag a few acting trophies, as the categories are without frontrunners. 

Where to stream: Netflix

Nominations received: Two — Lead Actor (Colin Firth) and Lead Actress (Toni Collette) 

What it’s about: A dramatic retelling of the documentary of the same name about a man accused of murdering his wife by pushing her down a flight of stairs. 

Emmy chances: Without a high nomination count, and up against Michael Keaton and Amanda Seyfried, it will be tricky for Firth and Collette, respectively, to win. The show, however, broke late, and presumably many voters will be catching up with it over the next two months. Collette is a national treasure, though, and should win every award she has ever been nominated for (and, honestly, every one she hasn’t been nominated for too). 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Seven — including Lead Actor (Himesh Patel), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: In a move that hits a bit too close to home, a troupe of thespians travel around 20 years after a deadly pandemic, performing Shakespeare to the survivors. 

Emmy chances: The fact that Station Eleven didn’t manage to beat out Inventing Anna for one of the Limited Series noms is a bit shocking, especially given that it landed Writing and Directing nominations that the swindler drama did not garner (no pun intended). But I think it will be another casualty of the Dopesick/White Lotus beatdown, which seems inevitable. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Thirteen — including Drama Series

What it’s about: A bunch of teenagers continue to take on supernatural monsters in the ’80s sci-fi crowd-pleaser. As with Better Call Saul, these nominations are for the first half of a two-part season, meaning that the last two episodes will be eligible next year. 

Emmy chances: Stranger Things and What We Do in the Shadows are the only two Outstanding Series nominees without an acting nomination, and WWDITS has two Writing nominations that Stranger Things didn’t get. Netflix’s crown jewel should clean up in the technical categories at the Creative Arts Emmys, but I can’t see it elbowing its way past Succession for the top prize, especially with only half a season. 

Where to stream: Netflix

Nominations received: Twenty-five — including Drama Series, two for Lead Actor (Brian Cox and Jeremy Strong), three for Supporting Actor (Nicholas Braun, Kieran Culkin, and Matthew Macfadyen), two for Supporting Actress (Sarah Snook and J. Smith-Cameron), seven for Guest Actor or Actress, three Directing nominations, and Writing

What it’s about: A group of horrible, rich white people bicker with and backstab one another other for control of a media conglomerate. 

Emmy chances: Succession is coming into these Emmys strong. After 18 nominations and seven wins (including Drama Series and Lead Actor) for Season 2, it’s back with even more nominations this year. Fourteen of the show’s actors have nominations, meaning that basically the entire cast was rewarded by the Television Academy. That type of widespread love is hard to beat, and given that it’s THE must-watch television event of the year, there will be few voters who haven’t seen it. Vote splitting could be in play in the acting categories, but it will almost certainly win Drama Series as well as a handful of other categories. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: One — Cinematography for a Reality Program

What it’s about: A bunch of strangers are dumped on a deserted island (for the 42nd time), where they compete in challenges and vote each other out until someone wins $1 million. 

Emmy chances: For some reason, Survivor has fallen out of vogue with the Television Academy, despite being endlessly better TV than most of its reality television competitors. This season has great nerds, great gays, and apparently great cinematography! Survivor has been nominated in this category 18 times (and has only missed out three times since the category’s creation) but only won once (in 2010). Life Below Zero is on a winning streak and will probably take this, but fingers crossed for a resurgence. 

Where to stream: Paramount+

Nominations received: Twenty — including Comedy Series, Lead Actor (Jason Sudeikis), three for Supporting Actor (Brett Goldstein, Toheeb Jimoh, and Nick Mohammed), three for Supporting Actress (Sarah Niles, Juno Temple, and Hannah Waddingham), three Guest Actor or Actress nominations, Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: Am overly cheery American football coach takes over a British soccer league, and lots of cute, warmhearted things happen. 

Emmy chances: Ted Lasso is the most nominated comedy this year (and second-most-nominated show overall), so it stands to reason that it will do well. The show, Sudeikis, Goldstein, and Waddingham all won last year, so they are all frontrunners again. The second season, however, aired last summer and wasn’t quite as beloved as the first. It is possible that the show will hold on to Comedy Series while giving up some of its acting wins to other shows (especially with all the potential vote splitting). Here’s hoping for a Temple win, however. 

Where to stream: Apple TV+

Nominations received: One — Lead Actor (Andrew Garfield) 

What it’s about: A Mormon detective investigates the death of a Mormon woman at the hands of her Mormon relatives on this true crime drama based on a book about Mormons. 

Emmy chances: Despite the charm and talent of Garfield, the show clearly didn’t connect with the academy, or it just got lost in the April-May glut of true crime shows. Garfield is the lone nominee and will most likely lose to Michael Keaton.  

Where to stream: Hulu

Nominations received: Seven — including Comedy Series and two for Writing

What it’s about: A group of vampires try to maneuver the modern world while living in a creepy old house in Staten Island. In Season 3, they are somehow given control of the Vampiric Council despite being extremely inept. 

Emmy chances: What We Do in the Shadows is perhaps the most clever show on television. And the academy appears to recognize this, as for two seasons in a row, it has nominated the show for Comedy Series while giving it MULTIPLE Writing nominations. The show, however, has yet to win an Emmy or land an acting nomination, which is shocking given the caliber of the talent involved. Natasia Demetriou and Matt Berry should have two of those endless Ted Lasso nominations. I think the show is unfortunately unlikely to win anything (although it would be my pick for Comedy Series if i were a voter), but hopefully it will continue to pick up steam. 

Where to stream: Hulu

Nominations received: Twenty — including Limited Series, three for Supporting Actor (Murray Bartlett, Jake Lacy, and Steve Zahn), five Supporting Actress nominations (Connie Britton, Jennifer Coolidge, Alexandra Daddario, Natasha Rothwell, and Sydney Sweeney), Directing, and Writing

What it’s about: A bunch of rich people spend time at a luxurious Hawaiian resort behaving in generally assholey ways. 

Emmy chances: The White Lotus is the easy frontrunner in this year’s particularly weak Limited Series field. It will walk away with the Limited Series top prize, and Mike White will likely end up with the Directing and Writing trophies as well. The saving grace for its competitors is that the entire cast is running in the Supporting races, meaning the Lead races are up for grabs. Bartlett and Coolidge should make short work of their competitors both from within and without the hotel. 

Where to stream: HBO Max

Nominations received: Seven — including Drama Series, Lead Actress (Melanie Lynskey), Supporting Actress (Christina Ricci), Directing, and two for Writing

What it’s about: Members of a girls soccer team are stranded in the Canadian wilderness when their plane crashes. In flashbacks, it appears some of them are cannibals. In the present day, there are some cultlike/supernatural shenanigans happening. 

Emmy chances: The Showtime hit was the surprise breakout of the winter and prompted everyone I know to sign up for that free trial to binge the series. In general, I think this is a strong showing for a freshman series up against old stalwarts, and they should be happy just to be nominated. The one exception is Lynskey for Lead Actress. I’ve already talked about this being a weak category, and if the beloved character actor can sidestep Laura Linney and Zendaya (both of whom already have Emmys), she could take home a much deserved trophy. (This is probably also a good spot to say that my first encounter with Lynskey was in the bonkers “Let’s do to Amazing Race what Lost did to Survivor,” short-lived, Emma Stone 2007 drama Drive.)

Where to stream: Showtime